ON JULY 23, when Nazriel Irham of the Bandung-based Peterpan pop group was released from prison, the local singer’s fans were elated. Online tweets were full of goodwill messages: “Go out and enjoy the fresh air Ariel. Keep up the good work (in music),” said one, calling the singer by his well-known nickname.
DOES Indonesia have too many trade unions? It would certainly seem so. According to the Ministry of Manpower and Transmigration, there are five national confederations for workers, 91 national-level unions and more than 45,000 regional and sectoral unions registered.
Asia is the fastest growing region in the world, and is likely to remain so in 2013. However, a number of risks cloud the picture.
The good news is that domestic demand in the region remains strong and should continue to cushion the impact of weaker external demand on overall economic growth. The completion of national elections in Japan and South Korea in December 2012 should also help reduce political uncertainties.
But Asian governments will need to guard against the adverse impact of prolonged easy financial conditions on inflation.
Rising inequality also continues to threaten social stability. Ethnic and religious rivalries remain just below the surface in many countries. When combined with government corruption and (in some countries) high youth unemployment, this could become a deadly mix. This seems particularly true of China.
Territorial disputes also require close monitoring. Much diplomatic activity in the new year is likely to be centered on finding ways to reduce tensions over resource-rich islands in the South China Sea, where Beijing's claims overlap with those of Japan, Vietnam and other Southeast Asian states. South Korea and Japan also have rival territorial claims.
North Korea remains the wild card. Inclined to believe its own propaganda, Pyongyang's new leadership could miscalculate, making belligerent moves that plunge the region into a military conflict that nobody wants.
My name is Dr Bruce Gale and I am a senior writer with the Singapore Straits Times. I studied at LaTrobe University (BA Hons) in Melbourne and later at the Centre for Southeast Asian Studies at Monash University (MA). My PhD thesis, which focussed on Malaysian political economy, was completed at the Malaysian National University (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia) in 1987.
From 1988 to 2003 I was Singapore Regional Manager for the Hong Kong based Political and Economic Risk Consultancy (PERC).
I have written several books and articles on Southeast Asian affairs, including Political Risk and International Business: Case Studies in Southeast Asia (Pelanduk Publications, 2007). Books on language include Mastering Indonesian: a guide to reading Indonesian language newspapers (Pelanduk Publications, 2008)