The Pros and Cons of the Joint Venture

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Joint ventures with local partners are a common strategy adopted by foreign investors. Indeed, the approach is often required by host governments attempting to encourage the development of local business operations.

The main role of the local partner from the point of view of the foreign investor is to provide some degree of political protection against government actions that may affect the profitability of the venture. However, they can also have other advantages, such a knowledge of the local market, and may even help spread help spread the financial risks by contributing to the cost of the project.

Whether joint venture partners are really effective in providing political protection is an issue that has long been debated. One study in the 1970s came to the somewhat depressing conclusion that joint ventures were more likely to be expropriated than wholly-owned foreign enterprises1. However, this conclusion may be misleading, since it is highly likely that joint ventures have been more frequent in industries where the political risk is already high. That said, several studies have indicated that foreign investors were most likely to express dissatisfaction with a joint venture when it involved the government as the local partner.

Even so, the behaviour as well as the general nature of the political connections of one's local partners do need to be carefully monitored. The more the foreign partner relies upon a local partner to negotiate special arrangements with the host government, for example, the more likely it is that the project will be vulnerable to charges of favouritism or corruption should the government change hands.

It is therefore important to perform a thorough due diligence on the potential partner, not only to determine his financial standing, but also to gather information on the local company's reputation and possible political vulnerabilities.

See also
Dilemma for Japan's Corporate Strategists

Key Political Risks

With the conservative Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) having won the December 16 parliamentary elections, Japanese foreign and domestic policy will shift to the right. The new prime minister is Shinzo Abe - a nationalist well-known for his hard-line stance against North Korea and his denial that Japanese forces abducted "comfort women" during the Pacific War.

But fears that he may worsen already strained ties with China over ongoing territorial disputes are probably exaggerated. Mr Abe proved to be very pragmatic in his dealings with China when he was prime minister from September 2006 to September 2007.

Despite the LDP's win, Mr Abe is not popular among voters, and he may have problems getting the cooperation of the upper house when it comes to domestic policy. 

But the new prime minister will probably get his way with the central bank. With BoJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa's term ending in April, Mr Abe will be able to select a successor more supportive of his desire for yet another round of quantitative easing. 

WHAT TO WATCH FOR:

  • Calls legislation designed to limit the independence of the Bank of Japan in a way that would force it to ease monetary policy more quickly. 
  • Further backtracking on promises to end Japan's reliance on nuclear power.
  • Diplomatic efforts to improve relations with Beijing. 
  • Attempts to balance the budget through spending cuts rather than new taxes.

About Me

My name is Dr Bruce Gale and I am a senior writer with the Singapore Straits Times. I studied at  LaTrobe University (BA Hons) in Melbourne and later at the Centre for Southeast Asian Studies at Monash University (MA). My PhD thesis, which focussed on Malaysian political economy, was completed at the Malaysian National University (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia) in 1987.

From 1988 to 2003 I was Singapore Regional Manager for the Hong Kong based Political and Economic Risk Consultancy (PERC). 

I have written several books and articles on Southeast Asian affairs, including Political Risk and International Business: Case Studies in Southeast Asia (Pelanduk Publications, 2007). Books on language include Mastering Indonesian: a guide to reading Indonesian language newspapers (Pelanduk Publications, 2008)

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